Aberdeenshire Council Ellon
JBA Consulting DBA

Current Flood Risk



In 2016 SEPA released revised indicative maps showing areas at risk from river, coastal and surface water flooding throughout Scotland. The mapping was undertaken to improve the understanding of flood risk, to raise public awareness of flood risk, and encourage individuals and organisations to take steps to reduce the risk to themselves and their property, where appropriate. This study has provided updated flood maps for Ellon. This updated mapping provides a better level of detail, sufficient to assist local authorities to take a more proactive approach to flood risk management, and develop avoidance, alleviation and assistance strategies through exercise of their land use planning, flood protection and emergency planning functions. Links to follow.




200 year Flood Depths


Ellon 200 year Outline

Ellon 200 year

Broomies Burn

Broomies 200 year Outline

Broomies 200 year

Modley Burn

Modley 200 year Outline

Modley 200 year

Hillhead and Fortree Burn

Hillhead and Fortree 200 year Outline

Hillhead and Fortree 200 year


What do these maps show?


When a river floods the severity of the flood is known as a 1 in x year flood. This terminology represents the probability of that event occurring in any year. For reference, the January 2016 event (Storm Frank) on the River Ythan in Ellon is estimated to have had a greater than 1 in 400 chance of occurring in any year (or 0.25% annual probability). This does not mean that the flood will occur once every 400 years; it could occur tomorrow and again next week, but on average a flood of that severity will occur once every 400 years. For example, there is a 1 in 100 (or 1%) chance of a flood exceeding the 100 year flood in any one year. A list of frequently used return periods and their respective annual probabilities is provided in the table below:


Return Period

Annual Probability [AP] (%)

2 year


5 year


10 year


25 year


30 year


50 year


75 year


100 year


200 year


1000 year


Current Flood Risk - Ellon Flood Studies